UPS Falls 11% - And FedEx Just Stole Its Crown
Briefly

UPS Falls 11% - And FedEx Just Stole Its Crown
"FedEx's market capitalization now stands at approximately $84.6 billion, exceeding UPS's $74.75 billion by roughly $9.9 billion. That gap is the result of two companies executing very different playbooks over the past year, with very different outcomes."
"FedEx stock is up nearly 25% year to date and up 49% over the past year. UPS, by contrast, is down more than 10% over the past year and down more than 25% over the past five years."
"UPS reported full-year 2025 revenue of $88.66 billion, down 2.46% year over year, while operating income in the most recent quarter fell 13.76% year over year to $2.575 billion. Moreover, UPS's U.S. domestic package volume dropped 10.8% year over year in Q4 2025."
FedEx has achieved a historic milestone by surpassing UPS in market value for the first time, with a market-cap advantage of approximately $9.9 billion. This reversal reflects dramatically different performance trajectories: FedEx stock gained nearly 25% year-to-date and 49% over the past year, while UPS declined over 10% annually and 25% over five years. UPS reported 2025 revenue of $88.66 billion, down 2.46% year-over-year, with operating income falling 13.76% in the most recent quarter. The company faces significant headwinds including a 10.8% drop in U.S. domestic package volume, ongoing Amazon volume reduction, rising labor costs, and investor concerns about its Amazon dependency. UPS's strategic decision to reduce reliance on Amazon, a low-margin customer, created a volume gap that has proven difficult to replace.
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