"The biggest gain for Democrats was a race for a seat on the Wisconsin Supreme Court. Liberal Judge Chris Taylor won the race and Enten noted it marked a 21-point gain for Democrats compared to 2024."
"Enten also dove into the special election to fill Marjorie Taylor Greene's open Georgia seat in the House. Republican Clay Fuller beat Democrat Shawn Harris, but Enten again noted that Democrats still outperformed."
"The significance of the gains, Enten added, is that the political party to overperform in special elections has gone on to win control of the House five out of five times since 2005."
Harry Enten predicted that Democrats will likely take control of the House and possibly the Senate due to major gains in special elections. Notable victories include a 21-point gain for Democrats in the Wisconsin Supreme Court race. In Virginia and New Jersey, Democrats also exceeded previous performance benchmarks. The pattern indicates that the party that overperforms in special elections tends to win control of the House, with Democrats showing strong results compared to past cycles. Enten emphasized the significance of these gains for future elections.
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