#federal-reserve

#federal-reserve

SPTI holds U.S. Treasury securities in the intermediate maturity range, offering a 3.76% dividend yield and an expense ratio of just 0.03%, making it one of the cheapest ways to own Treasury income.

A mountain of evidence suggests that the Government served these subpoenas on the Board to pressure its Chair into voting for lower interest rates or resigning. The judge added that the government provided essentially zero evidence to suspect Chair Powell of a crime. He accused the government of presenting thin and unsubstantiated allegations against Powell.

The U.S. Federal Reserve confirmed yesterday that its trading desk did conduct a rare "rate check" on the exchange rate between the U.S. dollar and the Japanese yen on behalf of the White House earlier this year. The move is often regarded as a precursor to actively intervening in currency markets. In this case the implication would be that the U.S. Treasury wanted to strengthen the yen versus the dollar (or, vice versa, weaken the dollar versus the yen).

Unemployment remained little changed from December, falling slightly to 4.3% with 7.4 million people unemployed. Both of these figures are higher than they were a year ago, when the jobless rate was 4.0%, and the number of unemployed people was 6.9 million. The jobs report beat estimates; the unemployment rate fell, and the internals of the report were fine too.

The resilience of gold above $4,800 per ounce at this stage reflects a delicate and complex balance between traditional supporting factors and emerging pressures-one that cannot be superficially interpreted or reduced to the movement of the dollar alone. It is true that the U.S. dollar's retreat from its recent peaks, after failing to sustain its recovery momentum from a four-year low, provided gold with a short-term breather and attracted some buyers.

The newly-named Federal Reserve chairman faces an historic challenge that no predecessor has encountered since the years immediately following World War II. In that period, the gigantic spending required to aid our allies and secure military victory saddled the U.S. with towering debt. President Truman-fearing that huge interest costs would swamp the budget-heavily pressured the Fed to hold down rates. Today, the U.S. is wrestling with its biggest budget crisis in 70 years, and we're confronting a similar conundrum.

Dutta tells Axios: "I don't think people should change their investment plans around Warsh. The Fed is bigger than any one person. At the margin, Warsh represents a bit of uncertainty." One concern is that Warsh will cut interest rates now to appease Trump even if lower rates aren't warranted, which could result in the need for increases later on.

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