#midterm-outlook

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US Elections
fromenglish.elpais.com
16 hours ago

Juan Verde: The next president of the United States will be a Democrat and an unknown'

Juan Verde's journey reflects the importance of immigration and the challenges posed by rising populism and far-right movements in the U.S. and Europe.
California
fromIntelligencer
10 hours ago

How Democrats Can Avoid Disaster in the California Governor's Race

The California gubernatorial race shows a potential for two Republicans to face off, posing a significant threat to Democrats.
#midterm-elections
Right-wing politics
fromIntelligencer
1 day ago

Voters Who Dislike Both Parties Are Turning Against Trump

Republicans may struggle in the 2026 midterms due to strong Democratic leanings among voters who dislike both major parties.
US politics
fromwww.mediaite.com
1 month ago

DEAD HEAT: Stunning New Poll Shows GOP Drawing Even With Dems Ahead of Midterms

Republicans and Democrats are tied at 50% each in congressional voting preferences, representing a significant GOP gain from 54%-46% Democratic lead the previous month.
US Elections
fromPOLITICO
3 weeks ago

'I'm glad I'm not on the ballot': Senate GOP worries about its midterm edge

Republican senators warn the party must emphasize cost-of-living measures to maintain Senate control, despite Trump's focus on other priorities and voter concerns about inflation and energy prices.
Left-wing politics
fromSlate Magazine
2 days ago

Can You Name That Political Memoir? A Slate Quiz.

Political memoirs from current and former officials reflect personal experiences and ambitions, often blending blandness with moments of controversy and career revival.
US politics
fromJezebel
2 days ago

GOP States Are Taking Voter Suppression Into Their Own Hands

Republican-led states are enacting voter suppression laws, including Florida's and Mississippi's versions of the SAVE America Act, facing legal challenges for their constitutionality.
London politics
fromwww.theguardian.com
3 days ago

Your Party to focus local election efforts on backing independent candidates

Your Party is targeting urban areas with large Muslim populations to support independent candidates and community groups against Labour.
Poker
fromReadWrite
3 days ago

Iowa prediction markets bill taxes trading platforms

Iowa Senate approves regulation and taxation of prediction markets with new rules for event-driven contracts.
#elections
SF politics
fromPadailypost
3 days ago

Candidate for elections officer was confused about party he joined

Jim Irizarry mistakenly registered with the American Independent Party for over 10 years, later changing to the Democratic Party.
SF politics
fromPadailypost
5 days ago

Candidate defends party registration

Jim Irizarry claims he mistakenly registered with a far-right party, while opponent David Canepa argues it was intentional and questions Irizarry's qualifications.
SF politics
fromPadailypost
3 days ago

Candidate for elections officer was confused about party he joined

Jim Irizarry mistakenly registered with the American Independent Party for over 10 years, later changing to the Democratic Party.
SF politics
fromPadailypost
5 days ago

Candidate defends party registration

Jim Irizarry claims he mistakenly registered with a far-right party, while opponent David Canepa argues it was intentional and questions Irizarry's qualifications.
NYC politics
fromNew York Post
5 days ago

Bruce Blakeman cuts into Hochul's lead in NY governor race: Siena poll

Bruce Blakeman is narrowing the gap against Kathy Hochul in the New York governor race, with her lead decreasing significantly in recent polls.
Digital life
fromAxios
5 days ago

Super scrollers sour on democracy: poll

Heavy social media use correlates with lower support for democracy and increased acceptance of subjective facts and political violence.
Right-wing politics
fromJezebel
1 day ago

New Poll Spells Doom for the GOP With Key 'Double Hater' Voters

Joe Rogan and Theo Von express confusion over U.S. military actions, highlighting a disconnect in political understanding among the public.
#2026-midterms
Podcast
fromThe New Yorker
1 week ago

A Mamdani Strategist's Advice for Democrats in the 2026 Midterms

Embracing outsider candidates and addressing economic issues is crucial for the Democratic Party to achieve a historic majority in the 2026 midterms.
US politics
fromEsquire
1 month ago

I Sure Hope the Democrats Know What to Do After the Primaries

Texas Senate primaries show Democrats facing a difficult choice between two viable candidates while Republicans pit an unremarkable incumbent against a scandal-plagued challenger, with local elections nationwide carrying significant long-term political implications.
Podcast
fromThe New Yorker
1 week ago

A Mamdani Strategist's Advice for Democrats in the 2026 Midterms

Embracing outsider candidates and addressing economic issues is crucial for the Democratic Party to achieve a historic majority in the 2026 midterms.
US politics
fromEsquire
1 month ago

I Sure Hope the Democrats Know What to Do After the Primaries

Texas Senate primaries show Democrats facing a difficult choice between two viable candidates while Republicans pit an unremarkable incumbent against a scandal-plagued challenger, with local elections nationwide carrying significant long-term political implications.
US politics
fromGothamist
4 days ago

Democrats lead in NJ special election ahead of debate. Here's what to watch for.

Democrat Analilia Mejia leads in early voting against Republican Joe Hathaway ahead of their debate for a New Jersey congressional seat.
#trump
US Elections
fromNewsOne
4 days ago

Trump's Election Order Is A Sign Of Open Rebellion Against The Country

Trump's executive order on elections undermines free elections and seeks to control voter eligibility and data.
fromJezebel
3 days ago
US Elections

GOP Congressmen Won't Pass the SAVE Act, so Trump Is Trying to Seize Control of Voting with Executive Orders Instead

US Elections
fromwww.mediaite.com
5 days ago

Fox's Dana Perino Says She Doesn't Know if Trump Cares' About the Midterms Because It's Probably Likely Republicans' Will Lose Congress

Dana Perino questions Trump's concern for Republicans' midterm prospects amid his low approval ratings and historical trends against the GOP.
US Elections
fromwww.mediaite.com
5 days ago

Trump Has Profound Problems': Nate Silver Warns of Major New Polling Low for President

Trump's approval rating has dropped below 40% for the first time in his second term, indicating significant disapproval across demographics.
US Elections
fromSlate Magazine
3 days ago

Donald Trump's Approval Rating Is Tanking. Unfortunately, That Doesn't Mean What You Think It Does.

Donald Trump's approval ratings have fallen below 40 percent for the first time in his second term, largely due to the Iran war and economic issues.
US Elections
fromNewsOne
4 days ago

Trump's Election Order Is A Sign Of Open Rebellion Against The Country

Trump's executive order on elections undermines free elections and seeks to control voter eligibility and data.
US Elections
fromJezebel
3 days ago

GOP Congressmen Won't Pass the SAVE Act, so Trump Is Trying to Seize Control of Voting with Executive Orders Instead

The Senate GOP lacks votes to pass Trump's voter disenfranchisement bill, leading him to pursue executive orders instead.
US Elections
fromwww.mediaite.com
5 days ago

Fox's Dana Perino Says She Doesn't Know if Trump Cares' About the Midterms Because It's Probably Likely Republicans' Will Lose Congress

Dana Perino questions Trump's concern for Republicans' midterm prospects amid his low approval ratings and historical trends against the GOP.
US Elections
fromwww.mediaite.com
5 days ago

Trump Has Profound Problems': Nate Silver Warns of Major New Polling Low for President

Trump's approval rating has dropped below 40% for the first time in his second term, indicating significant disapproval across demographics.
SF politics
fromLos Angeles Times
4 days ago

Commentary: Is California really going to elect a Republican governor? Is there a Democratic Plan B?

California's Democratic primary faces risks of splintering support, potentially allowing Republicans to advance in the election.
#election-security
US Elections
fromLos Angeles Times
1 day ago

House Democrats to hold California 'shadow hearings' on midterm election security

California Democrats are holding hearings to defend state election systems against Trump's fraud allegations and threats of intervention.
US Elections
fromwww.theguardian.com
1 month ago

Joe Biden warns that Donald Trump will try to steal' midterm elections

Biden warns that Trump will attempt to steal midterm elections through voting restrictions, urging Americans to vote to counter these efforts.
#democratic-party
fromFortune
5 days ago
SF politics

Democrats in disarray as rank and file clash with Chuck Schumer's plan to run elderly moderates in must-win races | Fortune

US politics
fromwww.mediaite.com
3 days ago

Atrociously Awful!' Harry Enten Marvels at Democrats' Dismal Feelings About Their Own Party

Approval for Democratic leadership has significantly declined among voters, indicating dissatisfaction with priorities and potential challenges ahead.
SF politics
fromFortune
5 days ago

Democrats in disarray as rank and file clash with Chuck Schumer's plan to run elderly moderates in must-win races | Fortune

Democrats are divided over strategy, with some supporting establishment candidates while others back insurgent candidates in response to recent electoral frustrations.
Right-wing politics
fromJezebel
3 days ago

Splinter: Rahm Emanuel's Run for President Is Proof that Centrist Dems Are Beyond Cooked

Third Way centrism is failing, with Rahm Emanuel as a poor choice for 2028, alienating younger voters and misrepresenting Democratic values.
Left-wing politics
fromDefector
5 days ago

This Election Is Too Darn Important To Be Left To Merciful Salad Eaters | Defector

Democratic politicians gain legitimacy by being disliked by younger, more progressive individuals, reflecting a flawed political analysis in legacy media.
#california
US Elections
fromLos Angeles Times
1 day ago

California election experts sound alarm as rejected ballots quadruple

California's mail-in ballots faced significant delays, with late arrivals increasing fourfold compared to the previous election, impacting vote counting.
US Elections
fromABC7 San Francisco
3 days ago

A messy California governor's race raises Democratic fears of potential loss

Democrats in California face unprecedented uncertainty in the gubernatorial race, risking their long-held control amid voter dissatisfaction.
US politics
fromwww.mediaite.com
6 days ago

Running to the Exits!' CNN Data Guru Accuses Republicans of Retiring to Avoid Midterm Bloodbath

House Republicans are retiring in large numbers, indicating they anticipate significant electoral challenges this fall.
Right-wing politics
fromLGBTQ Nation
6 days ago

Democrats accuse Dem Senate candidate of being a GOP plant over his past support for the president - LGBTQ Nation

William Forbes is accused of being a Republican plant in Nebraska's Democratic Senate primary to divide the liberal vote.
#voting-rights
US Elections
fromABC7 Los Angeles
4 days ago

Trump signs order directing creation of a national voter list, a move sure to face legal challenges

President Trump signed an executive order to create a nationwide list of verified eligible voters, prompting expected legal challenges.
US Elections
fromwww.aljazeera.com
2 days ago

Two dozen Democrat-led states sue Trump over mail-in ballot limits

Rights groups are challenging Trump's executive order limiting mail-in ballots, claiming it undermines voting access before the midterm elections.
US Elections
fromABC7 Los Angeles
4 days ago

Trump signs order directing creation of a national voter list, a move sure to face legal challenges

President Trump signed an executive order to create a nationwide list of verified eligible voters, prompting expected legal challenges.
US Elections
fromwww.theguardian.com
1 week ago

How an election conspiracy theorist has Trump's ear on voting laws and midterms

Peter Ticktin advocates for an emergency executive order to overhaul US voting rules, ending machine and mail-in voting.
#trump-administration
US politics
fromWIRED
6 days ago

This Is How Trump Is Already Threatening the Midterms

The Trump administration is actively working to manipulate the midterm elections through rhetoric and proposed legislation.
fromwww.mediaite.com
2 months ago
US politics

Stephanie Ruhle Says Trump Faces a Reckoning in the Midterms'

The White House prioritizes dominating Americans and consolidating power through unprecedented actions that escalate chaos and target institutions ahead of midterm elections.
US politics
fromWIRED
6 days ago

This Is How Trump Is Already Threatening the Midterms

The Trump administration is actively working to manipulate the midterm elections through rhetoric and proposed legislation.
SF politics
fromwww.mediaite.com
5 days ago

A Familiar Face Files to Run for Nancy Mace's Congressional Seat: It's Time'

Mark Sanford is running for the congressional seat previously held by Nancy Mace amid a crowded GOP primary.
#election-integrity
US politics
fromEsquire
5 days ago

Republicans Have a Lot to Lose in Georgia Next Week. Could It Predict the Midterms?

Floyd County, Georgia, is experiencing a shift in political power and public sentiment, as evidenced by local reactions to Donald Trump's visit.
#donald-trump
US politics
fromLGBTQ Nation
5 days ago

Analyst astounded by how far Trump's approval rating has dropped: "There is no bottom" - LGBTQ Nation

Donald Trump's approval ratings have plummeted to historically low levels, with no signs of recovery.
US politics
fromLGBTQ Nation
5 days ago

Analyst astounded by how far Trump's approval rating has dropped: "There is no bottom" - LGBTQ Nation

Donald Trump's approval ratings have plummeted to historically low levels, with no signs of recovery.
fromBoston.com
1 month ago

Takeaways from the first elections of the 2026 midterm campaigns

By rallying behind Talarico, the party sided with someone who pledged to change Washington while finding consensus. The 36-year-old state representative's win over Crockett cements his status as a rising star and will likely make him one of Democrats' most prominent candidates this year. He campaigned with denunciations of 'politics as a blood sport' and an insistence that people want 'a return to more timeless values of sincerity and honesty and compassion and respect.'
US news
US Elections
fromIntelligencer
4 days ago

Trump's Order Restricting Mail Voting Is Blatantly Unconstitutional

Trump's executive orders on election administration violate the U.S. Constitution's provisions regarding state control over elections.
Right-wing politics
fromThe Atlantic
3 weeks ago

Independents of America Unite!

Independents now comprise 45% of American adults, outnumbering Republicans and Democrats individually, yet lack unified strategy and organization to achieve electoral success.
US Elections
fromwww.mediaite.com
3 days ago

Fox's Jessica Tarlov Rattles off Trump's Brutal New Poll Numbers: That Is Unsustainable'

Donald Trump's approval rating has dropped to 31%, his lowest ever, amid rising disapproval and economic concerns related to the Iran war.
California
fromLos Angeles Times
1 month ago

Commentary: With midterm vote starting, here's where things stand in national redistricting fight

Trump orchestrated partisan gerrymandering in Texas to preserve Republican House control, triggering a nationwide wave of retaliatory redistricting by Democrats across multiple states.
US Elections
fromPBS News
4 days ago

WATCH: Trump signs executive order to create national list of eligible voters

President Trump signed an executive order to create a nationwide list of verified eligible voters, aiming to restrict voting ahead of midterm elections.
US politics
fromPOLITICO
2 weeks ago

The Senate's marathon elections debate is dividing Republicans, not Democrats

Senate Republicans plan extended debate on an election bill unlikely to pass, facing Democratic opposition and internal disagreement over eliminating the filibuster.
US Elections
fromwww.mediaite.com
5 days ago

Chris Jansing Confronts Jasmine Crockett with Bad Dem Poll

Congressional approval ratings are low, with both parties facing disapproval as incumbents risk losing their positions in upcoming elections.
US Elections
fromwww.mediaite.com
4 days ago

New Poll Shows Trump Losing Big With GOP's Most Loyal Voting Bloc

Trump's approval ratings have significantly declined among key voter demographics, particularly the 18-29 age group, amid economic concerns related to the war in Iran.
US Elections
fromIntelligencer
1 week ago

Democrats Could Win a Majority of Governorships In 2026

Partisan control of state governments significantly impacts federal elections, with both parties aiming for gubernatorial victories in the upcoming elections.
fromLGBTQ Nation
3 weeks ago

The midterm primaries are turning out to be really bad news for incumbents - LGBTQ Nation

In perhaps a vain attempt to prove themselves moderate, the Democratic lawmakers helped override Democratic Gov. Roy Cooper's vetoes. Voters responded with the kind of ballot-box fury that should serve as a lesson to other incumbents. It wasn't just a case that the incumbents lost. They were buried, with several of them getting trounced by margins of 40 points or more.
US politics
US Elections
fromBoston.com
5 days ago

National UMass survey has bad news for Trump

33% of Americans approve of Trump's performance, with significant disapproval driven by economic concerns, foreign policy, and immigration.
fromIntelligencer
3 weeks ago

Trump Has Handed the Democrats a New Winning Issue for the Midterms

Affordability has been, understandably, the watchword for Democratic candidates over the last year. After downplaying inflation under Joe Biden, the party learned a brutal lesson when Donald Trump rode the cost-of-living crisis back to the White House in 2024. In 2025, Zohran Mamdani put affordability at the center of his own campaign and surged from the back of the pack to City Hall.
US politics
US Elections
fromTechCrunch
5 days ago

The Silicon Valley congressional race is getting ugly | TechCrunch

The CA-17 race is intensifying with Ro Khanna facing challenges from Ethan Agarwal, who has a controversial legal history.
US politics
fromThe New Yorker
3 weeks ago

The Latest Republican Efforts to Make It Harder to Vote in the Midterms

Voter ID requirements create significant barriers for elderly and disabled citizens attempting to exercise their voting rights through burdensome administrative processes.
Humor
fromThe New Yorker
1 month ago

I Will Be Your Next President

A leader prioritizes personal downtime, staged appearances, curt media interactions, and performative empathy while delegating substantive crisis management to aides.
fromLondon Business News | Londonlovesbusiness.com
2 months ago

Trump's midterm concerns drive raft of policy announcements - London Business News | Londonlovesbusiness.com

The FTSE 100 appears to be faring best, benefitting from strong gains in the precious metals space and defence stocks. Notably, the weekend newswires told of a potential military deployment into Greenland from the likes of Germany and the UK in a bid to deter Trump's overtures for the island. While Trump's apparent willingness to take aim at land owned by a fellow Nato member does highlight the need for Europe to ramp up defence spending,
Miscellaneous
US Elections
fromwww.theguardian.com
1 week ago

US supreme court appears poised to limit mail-in ballots ahead of midterms

The US Supreme Court may limit counting mail-in ballots arriving after election day, impacting laws in multiple states during midterm elections.
fromwww.theguardian.com
1 month ago

Five ways Trump could try to tilt the midterm elections in his favor

They want to cheat, he said of Democrats. They have cheated. And their policy is so bad that their only way to get elected is to cheat. And we're going to stop it. Trump has put action to his long-debunked claims this year, with FBI agents seizing 2020 election documentation in Fulton county, Georgia, and the Department of Justice pursuing voter data from state elections officials across the country.
US politics
US politics
fromAxios
1 month ago

Democrats look deep into Trump's territory for 2026 House pickups

Democrats expanded the House battleground to 44 seats and aim to net three pickups to regain control of the House.
US Elections
fromwww.aljazeera.com
1 month ago

US midterm primary season kicks off in shadow of Iran war

2026 primary elections in Texas, North Carolina, and Arkansas reveal early voter sentiment on affordability, military intervention, and party control of Congress amid Middle East conflict.
US politics
fromABC7 Los Angeles
1 month ago

How Trump will use his State of the Union address to sell skeptical midterm voters on his plans

Trump faces diminished public support on the economy and immigration, and a Supreme Court ruling curtailed his tariff power before the State of the Union.
US Elections
fromThe New Yorker
1 month ago

North Carolina Primary Map: Live Election Results

Roy Cooper and Michael Whatley are expected to easily win their respective Democratic and Republican U.S. Senate primaries in North Carolina, while House races feature competitive primaries with redistricting and progressive challenges reshaping electoral dynamics.
US politics
fromwww.npr.org
1 month ago

Only a fraction of House seats are competitive. Redistricting is driving that lower

Mid-decade redistricting has drastically reduced competitive House races, shifting decisive power to low-turnout primaries and weakening congressional accountability.
fromSlate Magazine
2 months ago

A Blue Wave Looks Likelier Now Than It Did at This Point in 2018

2026 is going to be a chance to answer a pretty strange question: What if one of the most powerful and theoretically coveted jobs in the world was actually one that very few wanted to keep?
US politics
fromwww.mercurynews.com
2 months ago

Opinion: The year's new political fault lines are already forming

The death of Renee Nicole Good, a 37-year-old mother and U.S. citizen who was shot and killed by an Immigration and Customs Enforcement agent in Minneapolis on Wednesday, has the potential to shake the political landscape in ways reminiscent of George Floyd's killing in 2020. The Trump administration initially claimed Good weaponized her vehicle in an act of domestic terrorism, an account that appears to be contradicted by video evidence.
US politics
US politics
fromBBC
2 months ago

Americast - Can Trump really save the midterms for the Republicans? - BBC Sounds

Republicans face a critical midterm fight to retain both congressional chambers as Trump leads intense Iowa campaigning to boost turnout despite economic and immigration concerns.
#us-politics
fromAxios
1 month ago

MAHA's midterm election test

Driving the news: In a memo Thursday, the Kennedy-aligned political advocacy group MAHA Action warned the chairs of the Republican Senate and House campaign committees and House and Senate leaders that the GOP "is renting MAHA voters. They haven't decided to purchase them yet." The group says Republicans could still close the polling gap with appeals to this segment, which it said could represent 10% of the electorate.
US politics
US politics
fromThe Verge
1 month ago

Can Democrats post their way to midterm victories?

Headquarters revives @KamalaHQ team to create a Gen Z-focused, left-leaning media brand repurposing large-following social accounts to disseminate viral political content.
US politics
fromThe Atlantic
2 months ago

'Look, You Can't Cancel the Election'

A sitting president mused about canceling elections; state officials are rehearsing legal and procedural responses and preparing courts and law enforcement to protect electoral processes.
US politics
fromThe Atlantic
1 month ago

The Democrats Aren't Built for This

Ken Martin, DNC chair, faces staff backlash after ending generous remote-work policies while navigating criticism over party elitism and management challenges.
US politics
fromABC7 San Francisco
2 months ago

New poll shows 45% of US voters identify as independents, shifting away from major political parties

Americans and many Californians are increasingly registering as independents, shifting voter affiliation and raising strategic importance under California's top-two open primary system.
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