#polling-accuracy

#polling-accuracy

Robertson explained that language can have certain cues, often termed 'micro-cultures,' where meanings differ in specific locations. For example, a community might refer to a restaurant as 'the corner spot' instead of its actual name.

Massachusetts is known for being one of the least transparent states in the country when it comes to the accessibility of public records. The governor, judiciary, and state lawmakers enjoy broad exemptions for compliance with public records requests. There are no independent statewide audits of compliance with public records law.

Under-regulated prediction markets have exposed America to needless public safety and national security risks by allowing traders to invest in outcomes related to sensitive matters like terrorism, assassination, war, or elections. Prediction markets also sponsor sports-related contracts against the wishes of many states, including Utah, that would otherwise prohibit these contracts if offered as traditional sports betting.

Messages intended to suppress votes can be precisely delivered to particularly vulnerable and consequential groups of people via social media and keep millions of them from casting ballots, according to a new study that is the first to quantify the effect of this kind of microtargeting on voter turnout. A team led by a researcher at the University of Wisconsin-Madison recruited more than 10,000 people across the United States-a group representative of the country's voting population-to install an app that

Just under half, 45%, of U.S. adults now identify as independents, a new Gallup survey found. That's a substantial shift from 20 years ago, when closer to one-third of Americans said they didn't identify with the Democrats or Republicans. This group appears, increasingly, to be driven by their unhappiness with the party in power, according to Gallup's analysis. That's a dynamic that could be good for Democrats in this year's midterm elections, but doesn't promise lasting loyalty.

The Trump administration has since poured billions of dollars into immigration enforcement, and in March, Trump issued an executive order requiring the Department of Homeland Security to ensure that states have "access to appropriate systems for verifying the citizenship or immigration status of individuals registering to vote or who are already registered." In May, DHS began encouraging states to check their voter rolls against immigration data with the Systematic Alien Verification for Entitlements (SAVE) program, run by US Citizenship and Immigration Services (USCIS). SAVE now has access to data from across the federal government, not just on immigrants but on citizens as well.

The chart showed the vote totals over time for Wisconsin. At first glance, it appeared that Joe Biden was lagging far behind Donald Trump and then suddenly surged ahead to a tie. Almost immediately, people online seized on the image, claiming that all those Biden votes were actually evidence of fraud. In fact, it was nothing of the sort, and both Trump and Biden's votes had increased - the result of a large batch of absentee and mail ballots being counted all at once.

President Trump's firing of IGs and removal of acting IGs, and then the subsequent appointment of some very political folks as IGs ... does raise the specter of a politicized inspector general community," one of those fired watchdogs, Mark Lee Greenblatt, told Nextgov/FCW.