Thanks to a provision in the Secure 2.0 retirement legislation, high-income earners (with $150,000 or more in FICA income in the prior year) who are over 50 and investing in 401(k) or other company retirement plans must make catch-up contributions to their plans' Roth option, rather than traditional tax-deferred contributions, starting this year.
Most employer 401(k) plans allow mid-year changes to the deferral election percentage. Before the bonus pay period, raise the deferral rate high enough to funnel as much of the bonus as possible into the 401(k), up to the annual limit.
A market downtown in the first few years of retirement, combined with regular withdrawals, can permanently damage a portfolio's ability to sustain income over time. The same downturn occurring 10 or 15 years later, when withdrawals have already been funded by earlier growth, does far less harm.
While over-diversification is not a term you hear often, the financial industry has spent decades telling investors that more is better. More funds, more sectors, more geographic exposure, and more asset classes, galore. The thing is, when a retiree holds 15 or 20 ETFs across overlapping strategies, the result isn't going to be safety, more like dilution.
At 2.16% annual inflation, purchasing power erodes slowly but steadily. Using the 4% withdrawal rule, $800,000 supports roughly $32,000 per year in initial withdrawals, adjusted annually for inflation. The critical nuance: withdrawing 4% during the first 7 years exposes you to sequence-of-returns risk. A 20% market drop in year one means selling assets at depressed prices, permanently reducing recovery potential.
He said that while many people set target retirement ages, people in the FIRE movement set target portfolio numbers. Unfortunately, he believes this is "inherently riskier" because you're biased towards being exposed to risk as long as possible to help your wealth grow quickly - unlike people who usually rebalance their portfolios and shift to safer assets as their retirement age nears.
A 65-year-old man today can expect to live to 84 years old, while a 65-year-old woman can expect to live until 86. For plan sponsors and advisers, that translates into a potential distribution horizon of at least 20 to 30 years. Without incorporating realistic longevity assumptions into glide path design, withdrawal strategies and income solutions, participants face a heightened risk of outliving their savings.
What gets glossed over in most of these conversations is taxes, as everyone focuses on the accumulation phase by maxing out your 401(k), funneling money into accounts like the Vanguard Total Stock Market Index Fund, and watching your net worth compound. However, when you retire early and need your portfolio to generate income, the tax bill can be significantly higher than you planned for, particularly if most of your money is in tax-deferred accounts or you've accumulated large unrealized gains in taxable accounts.
