#fuel-margin

#fuel-margin

We, the Ministers of Foreign Affairs of Belgium, Croatia, Estonia, Finland, Iceland, Italy, Ireland, Latvia, Luxembourg, Moldova, Norway, Poland, San Marino, Spain and Sweden, concerned by the conflict in the Middle East, are appalled by the dramatic situation and renewed escalation of violence in Lebanon, where there are already 1.2 million internally displaced persons, representing some 25% of the overall population.

Jet fuel tends to be an airline's biggest expense. An analysis by the International Air Transport Association showed that, for the week ending March 27, the weekly average price of jet fuel has skyrocketed 116.8 per cent compared to the previous year's average.

The share of U.S. economic activity has increased in service industries that demand less energy, while sectors requiring large-scale energy resources have become more efficient.

"A more decentralized energy system, with a growing share of renewables and more market players, is structurally more resilient. Countries that invested in the energy transition are weathering this crisis with less economic damage, as they boost energy security, resilience and competitiveness."

Australia's economic insulation is no longer guaranteed by geography, as geopolitical unrest in the Middle East can swiftly impact its economy through international energy markets.

KeyBanc's revised oil deck reflects a materially stronger crude environment than previously modeled, with dislocations in global crude and refined products expected to persist into summer.

The market remains highly sensitive to developments in the Middle East, where elevated geopolitical tensions continue to expose energy infrastructure and shipping routes to significant risks. Supply conditions have already tightened, as production in parts of the region has been curtailed due to limited storage capacity and difficulties in exporting crude amid shipping constraints.

Citi's upgrade reflects a broader geopolitical reality reshaping global energy markets. The Iran war is accelerating the flight of European and Asian buyers toward secure, long-term U.S. LNG supply contracts.

It may be too late for Trump to negotiate from a position of strength with Iran. The conflict has raised the risk of a worldwide recession.