Citi's upgrade reflects a broader geopolitical reality reshaping global energy markets. The Iran war is accelerating the flight of European and Asian buyers toward secure, long-term U.S. LNG supply contracts.
Jet fuel tends to be an airline's biggest expense. An analysis by the International Air Transport Association showed that, for the week ending March 27, the weekly average price of jet fuel has skyrocketed 116.8 per cent compared to the previous year's average.
At the start of this year, Pakistan had more imported liquefied natural gas (LNG) than it could use, with demand falling from a peak of 8.2 million tonnes in 2021 to 6.1 million tonnes by late 2025. The government sold excess gas shipments to other countries and shut down domestic gas wells to prevent pipelines from bursting under oversupply.
"A more decentralized energy system, with a growing share of renewables and more market players, is structurally more resilient. Countries that invested in the energy transition are weathering this crisis with less economic damage, as they boost energy security, resilience and competitiveness."
"But if for any reason a deal is not shortly reached, which it probably will be, and if the Hormuz Strait is not immediately 'Open for Business' we will conclude our lovely 'stay' in Iran by blowing up and completely obliterating all of their Electric Generating Plants, Oil Wells and Kharg Island..."
The Soviet-era pipeline, which carries Russian oil via Ukraine to the two landlocked central European countries, was damaged by a Russian missile in late January. Both Budapest and Bratislava have accused Kyiv of stalling to repair it for political reasons. Ukraine has rejected the accusation.
The drone strikes and infrastructure damage at Qatar's massive Ras Laffan complex triggered force majeure declarations and slashed roughly 15% to 20% of global supply overnight, leading to a spike in spot prices in Asia and Europe.
Crude oil is a complex mixture of hydrocarbons - molecules made mainly of carbon and hydrogen. Refineries and chemical plants separate and transform these molecules into smaller chemical building blocks known as petrochemicals. Some of the most important petrochemical building blocks include chemicals such as ethylene, propylene and benzene.
January 2026 showed just how violent this relationship can get: Henry Hub spiked to $30.72/MMBtu on January 23 - a near-tenfold surge - before collapsing to $3.13/MMBtu by February 23. Extreme winter heating demand and supply constraints drove that move - exactly what BOIL is built to capture on the upside, and what devastates holders on the way back down.
When geopolitical tensions disrupt normal shipping routes through the Strait of Hormuz or the Red Sea, tankers must travel longer distances to deliver crude oil. More days at sea means higher utilization rates and more revenue per voyage. On top of that, higher oil prices increase the value of the cargo being transported, which supports stronger charter rate negotiations between tanker owners and the oil majors that need their ships.